Singapore’s economy will not boom
over the next few years due to the global economic slowdown, but it
will not go bust either. That’s according to Swiss economist Marc
Faber, who’s also known as Dr. Doom after he accurately predicted
earlier stock market crashes and other financial disasters.
He was speaking at OCBC’s Global
Treasury Regional Economic and Business Forum on Friday.
Marc Faber thinks that “among all
the disasters in the world, Singapore is one of the smallest
disasters.”
He believes the Singapore economy
will survive the current economic turmoil, but is not ruling out
turbulence ahead.
He said: “Singapore will just do
fine but it doesn’t mean that property prices can’t go down 20 per
cent or more or the share market goes down further.”
This is because the country’s open
economy exposes it to fluctuations in the global market.
But he is quick to add that
keeping funds in Singapore is one of the better alternatives.
“I own some REITs in Singapore
because they have a high yield but I don’t think they’ll go up
anytime soon. I think they’ll still go down but at least I get
dividend yield of at least five per cent and the likelihood they
will cut the yield is not very high,” he added.
For now, he’s hesitant to invest
directly in Singapore properties.
Faber also holds Singapore dollars
and owns shares in counters like OCBC, UOB and Singapore Airlines.
And while he doesn’t expect the
shares to go up, he feels Singapore stocks are unlikely to plunge
very much further.
He also expects the STI to settle
within the range of 2000, to 2500 points.
This year, Singapore’s economy is
expected to grow at the lower end of the government’s four to five
per cent range. That compares to a 7.7 per cent clip in 2007.
Source : Channel NewsAsia - 12
Sep 2008